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ELS Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: ELS's strategic asset locations and stable long-term demand for affordable housing position it for a potential rebound. Backwardation in implied volatility suggests near-term positivity.

Bearish Case: High implied volatilities and recent flat price action signal underlying market skepticism, compounded by legal issues and economic headwinds.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued price decline (50%): Ongoing legal challenges and high volatility.
2. Potential stabilization (30%): As legal issues resolve and economic outlook stabilizes.
3. Rebound potential (20%): Strong demand for affordable housing and strategic positioning.

June 20, 2025

Equity Lifestyle Properties Forecast

ELS Equity Lifestyle Properties

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ELS

CAG Conagra Brands (0.89)

DRN Direxion Real Estate Bull 3x Shares (0.86)

DHI D.R. Horton (0.83)

CURE Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X Shares (0.83)

BCE BCE (0.82)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ELS

HES Hess (-0.0)

USO United States Commodity Funds (-0.0)

SATS EchoStar (0.0)

OWL Blue Owl (0.0)

MCW Mister Car Wash (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ELS

LRN Stride (-0.73)

TPR Tapestry (-0.73)

SAP Sap SE (-0.73)

CNP Centerpoint Energy (-0.73)

HOOD Robinhood Markets (-0.79)

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