ELS Forecast


Bullish Case: With increased demand for affordable housing, ELS could benefit from a rebound in occupancy rates and rents, leading to a positive price trajectory. Analyst upgrades could further bolster investor sentiment.




Bearish Case: Ongoing legal challenges and high implied volatility suggest significant market uncertainty. If sentiment declines, ELS may test lower price levels, driven by investor caution amid economic instability.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued long-term growth (35% chance) driven by robust rental demand.

2. Short-term price decline (50% chance) if legal issues intensify or sentiment worsens.

3. Stabilization around current prices (15% chance) if market conditions improve and legal concerns abate.




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November 12, 2024


Equity Lifestyle Properties Forecast

ELS        Equity Lifestyle Properties











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EPR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EPR  EPR Properties (0.84)


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COMM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COMM  CommScope (0.79)


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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ELS



U Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   U  Unity Software (0.01)


BAX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BAX  Baxter International (-0.01)


BAH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BAH  Booz Allen Hamilton (0.01)


FLNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLNG  Flex Lng (0.02)


HUMA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HUMA  Humacyte (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ELS



XOP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XOP  SPDR Oil & Gas Exploration and Production (-0.73)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (-0.76)


UCTT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UCTT  Ultra Clean Hldgs (-0.77)


ABNB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABNB  Airbnb (-0.78)


SIMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SIMO  Silicon Motion Technology (-0.83)









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