ESI Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: ESI's strategic partnerships, coupled with underlying demand for rare earth elements, set the stage for potential growth. The positive sentiment on the S&P 500 indices could influence ESI positively.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and historical mean reversion suggest downside risks. Market skepticism and macroeconomic uncertainties may curb ESI's short-term appeal.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Technology breakthroughs enhance growth: 55%
  • Environmental issues cut values: 25%
  • Market stagnation continues: 20%



May 29, 2025


Element Forecast

ESI        Element











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ESI



RPD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RPD  Rapid7 (0.74)


CODI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CODI  Compass Diversified (0.74)


FUN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FUN  Cedar Fair (0.69)


UWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UWM  ProShares Ultra Russell2000 (0.66)


CZR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CZR  Caesars Entertainment (0.66)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ESI



RACE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RACE  Ferrari (0.0)


ITA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITA  BTC iShares U.S. Aerospac (-0.01)


JPM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JPM  JPMorgan Chase (0.01)


XLF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLF  Financial Select Sector SPDR (-0.01)


NWS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NWS  News (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ESI



GFI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GFI  Gold Fields (-0.43)


FEZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FEZ  SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (-0.47)


SAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAN  Banco Santander (-0.47)


VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.49)


EUFN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EUFN  BTC iShares MSCI Europe Financials (-0.53)









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