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ESI Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: The potential for technological breakthroughs and strategic partnerships in renewable sectors could drive ESI's growth. Historical return patterns suggest a likelihood of gains in the medium term, supported by recent social media optimism.

Bearish Case: Current high implied volatility in puts and market skepticism might indicate downside risks. Macro-economic uncertainties and increased competition could suppress price movement, consistent with recent trend reversals.

Potential Outcomes: 40% chance: Moderate growth driven by partnerships.
30% chance: Stagnation due to economic challenges.
30% chance: Short-term decline from increased competition.

May 03, 2025

Element Forecast

ESI Element

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ESI

FDX Fedex (0.63)

RVMD Revolution Medicines (0.62)

UWM ProShares Ultra Russell2000 (0.61)

SSO ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.6)

FUN Cedar Fair (0.6)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ESI

ATKR Atkore (-0.0)

COTY Coty (0.0)

ADP Automatic Data Processing (0.0)

MAIN Main Street (0.01)

OUST Ouster (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ESI

SAN Banco Santander (-0.39)

EC Ecopetrol SA (-0.39)

FEZ SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (-0.4)

EXC Exelon (-0.43)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.45)

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