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FANG Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Diamondback Energy's strong Permian Basin presence, merger integrations, and technological edge signal persistent upside. The current low price-to-book ratio and option skew favor a rebound.

Bearish Case: Volatile commodity prices, insider sales, and operational risks may suppress Diamondback's growth despite previous positive trends. Backwardation of implied volatility suggests persistent uncertainty.

Potential Outcomes: 40%: Price increases due to strategic synergies and firm market demand.
35%: Price remains stable amid mixed signals and market caution.
25%: Price declines from volatility and operational hurdles.

June 20, 2025

Diamondback Energy Forecast

FANG Diamondback Energy

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with FANG

CVE Cenovus Energy (0.96)

TDW Tidewater Inc. - New (0.93)

STNG Scorpio Tankers (0.93)

DOW Dow (0.93)

KSS Kohl's (0.92)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FANG

STNE StoneCo (0.0)

OWL Blue Owl (-0.0)

XLK Technology Select Sector SPDR (0.0)

VMC Vulcan Materials (-0.01)

DHT DHT (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FANG

GILD Gilead Sciences (-0.87)

CNP Centerpoint Energy (-0.88)

VRSN Verisign (-0.88)

PM Philip Morris International (-0.88)

LRN Stride (-0.89)

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