FGEN Forecast


Bullish Case: FGEN's potential for new drug approvals, insider buying, and a significant increase in revenue signal possible upward momentum. The company is undervalued with a potential 5x upside based on current analyst targets.


Bearish Case: Recent clinical trial failures, high volatility, and significant stock price depreciation indicate ongoing risk. The term structure shows backwardation, reflecting market concerns about the stock's future.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Positive approval of new drugs (40%).

2) Continued clinical trial failures (50%).

3) Stabilization due to insider confidence and increased revenues (10%).


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July 16, 2024


FibroGen Forecast

FGEN      FibroGen











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