Bullish Case: FibroGen's strategic maneuvers, including new leadership investments and potential approval in chemotherapy-induced anemia in China, hint at a possible rebound. Positive early data from ADC for prostate cancer could revitalize the stock, driving new optimism among investors.


Bearish Case: Despite occasional sparks of potential, FGEN grapples with the weight of its historical declines and recent clinical setbacks. High volatility and ongoing litigation present substantial risk, with market sentiment further dampened by insider sales overshadowing recent purchases.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Approval in chemotherapy-induced anemia in China lifts stock (30%).

2. ADC clinical advancements trigger a rally (25%).

3. Legal outcomes worsen, dragging the stock (40%).

4. Market volatility further destabilizes FGEN (70%).


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April 23, 2024


FibroGen Forecast

FGEN        FibroGen
Price Forecast: BULLISH    Price Action: RANDOM (?)











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