FSLY Forecast


Bullish Case: Fastly's transition toward an EBITDA profit milestone could restore investor confidence, backed by a potential surge in demand for edge computing services, propelling its stock value upward.


Bearish Case: Heightened volatility and insider selling hint at a lack of confidence in company stability, with high debt impacts likely driving the stock further downward amid missed earnings expectations.


Potential Outcomes:

1. EBITDA profitability achieved (40% chance).

2. Insider selling leads to decreased investor confidence (60% chance).

3. Successful product launches drive customer growth (35% chance).

4. Continued revenue decline due to high debt and competition (50% chance).


Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish long call spread using options closer to expiration, targeting strikes at $8-$10 with an aggressive delta. Favor near-term strikes to capitalize on volatility spikes without holding exposure as earnings approach, maximizing risk/reward ratio.


July 25, 2024


Fastly Forecast

FSLY      Fastly











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