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GEM Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Emerging market recovery and diversification could enhance GEM's potential. Moderate implied volatility suggests stability with room for upward movement driven by strategic asset allocation.



Bearish Case: High historical volatility and geopolitical risks may lead to negative sentiment in emerging markets. Elevated implied volatility in options indicates caution, highlighting potential downside risks.



Potential Outcomes:
  1. Stable (50%): Minor fluctuations due to mean reversion.
  2. Slight increase (30%): Potential boost from favorable economic data.
  3. Decline (20%): Geopolitical tensions might trigger a downturn.


May 11, 2025


Goldman Sachs ETF Trust - Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta Emerging Markets Equity Forecast

GEM        Goldman Sachs ETF Trust - Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta Emerging Markets Equity

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with GEM


YINN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YINN  Direxion Daily FTSE China Bull 3X Shares (0.7)


MCHI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCHI  BTC iShares MSCI China (0.63)


JNUG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JNUG  Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bu (0.59)


UBER Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UBER  Uber (0.54)


VT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VT  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Total World Stock (0.53)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GEM


UWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UWM  ProShares Ultra Russell2000 (-0.0)


M Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   M  Macy's (-0.0)


CALM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CALM  Cal-Maine Foods (0.01)


YPF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YPF  YPF (-0.01)


PAGS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAGS  PagSeguro Digital (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GEM


UNH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNH  Unitedhealth (-0.22)


SPDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPDN  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1X Shares (-0.23)


IMMR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IMMR  Immersion (-0.26)


JDST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JDST  Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Be (-0.27)


VRNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VRNT  Verint Systems (-0.32)







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