GEO Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: GEO's historical mean reversion patterns and insider buying suggest potential for continued short-term upside.


Bearish Case: High volatility and flat term structure indicate limited significant upside, with high recent put option volumes suggesting downside risks.


Potential Outcomes: Mean reversion rally continues (60%). Implied volatility spikes due to external news (30%). Investor sentiment caps gains (10%).


Trading Oracle: Exploit mean reversion: Short GEO $17 puts expiring in 29 days. Volatility pricing is favorable. Odds of profit are 71% with a positive edge (17%). Potential annual return of 17%.


July 20, 2024


Geo Group Forecast

GEO      Geo Group











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F Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   F  Ford Motor (0.0)


PSA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PSA  Public Storage (-0.01)


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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GEO



CHPT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHPT  ChargePoint (-0.93)


SPWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPWR  Sunpower (-0.93)


MED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MED  Medifast (-0.94)


LAZR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LAZR  Luminar (-0.94)


EXTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXTR  Extreme Networks (-0.94)





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