Bullish Case: CGI's recent 5-year contract with the Department of Homeland Security for digital immigration records system improvements, worth potentially $159 million, could boost revenue and display ability to secure large deals[washingtonexec.com].


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Bearish Case: The McGill University study warning against using ChatGPT for medical writing suggests risks associated with AI, which could question the effectiveness of CGI's products and services, possibly affecting customer trust[muhc.ca].


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Takeaway: CGI's potential growth opportunities come with significant contracts like the one with the Department of Homeland Security[washingtonexec.com]. There lies some risk in potential criticism regarding AI solutions which needs to be addressed for maintaining customer base and trust[muhc.ca].


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Potential Outcomes:

1. (70% probability) The contract with the Department of Homeland Security could increase revenues substantially, cementing CGI's position in the field[washingtonexec.com]. This will depend on the successful execution of the contract.

2. (30% probability) If the AI product-related shortcomings as warned by the McGill study become extensive, it might lead to decreased trust in CGI's AI offerings, affecting future business[muhc.ca].


September 12, 2023



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