GIS Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: General Mills has promising initiatives in healthier products and pet food expansion, supported by 21% more bullish risk. GIS's commitment to sustainability can further boost its brand image.


Bearish Case: Negative quarterly sales and competition from low-priced alternatives underscore GIS's vulnerability to market pressures. Persistent legal challenges and consumer price sensitivity pose ongoing risks.


Potential Outcomes: 40% - steady growth through operational improvements. 45% - market underperformance due to continuous challenges. 15% - new product success boosts investor confidence.


Trading Oracle: Initiate a bullish debit spread: buy GIS $67.5 calls and sell $70.0 calls expiring in 99 days. Alpha from high call volume and implied volatility, aligned with bullish risk more than bearish. Keep for medium-term.


July 16, 2024


General Mills Forecast

GIS      General Mills











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with GIS



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.47)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.31)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.05)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.09)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GIS



LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.05)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.09)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.31)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.47)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GIS



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.47)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.31)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.05)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.09)





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