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GLD Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Strong institutional buying and gold’s appeal as a safe haven amid geopolitical tensions support potential gains. Implied volatility decline suggests growing investor confidence.



Bearish Case: A correction might be imminent due to overvaluation and flat historical returns. Increased market volatility and interest rate hikes could deter gold investments.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 35% chance of GLD rising due to geopolitical tensions.
  • 30% chance of price correction amid flat returns.
  • 20% likelihood of rangebound trading due to stable conditions.
  • 15% chance of a volatility-induced decline.


April 03, 2025


SPDR Gold Shares Forecast

GLD        SPDR Gold Shares

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with GLD


KGC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KGC  Kinross Gold (0.97)


CRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRS  Carpenter Technology (0.92)


SATS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SATS  EchoStar (0.92)


RGLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RGLD  Royal Gold (0.9)


ERJ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ERJ  Embraer (0.9)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GLD


NNN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NNN  National Retail Properties (-0.0)


TAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TAL  TAL Education (-0.02)


AMGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMGN  AMGEN (0.02)


DAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAN  Dana (-0.02)


IR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IR  Ingersoll-Rand (0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GLD


FXP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FXP  ProShares UltraShort FTSE China 50 (-0.86)


STM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STM  New York Shares (-0.86)


XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (-0.87)


ATKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ATKR  Atkore (-0.88)


GES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GES  Guess (-0.89)







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