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GOVT Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Safe-haven demand rises amid economic uncertainty, boosting GOVT prices as investors flock to U.S. Treasury securities.

Bearish Case: Persistently high inflation pressures the Fed to keep rates elevated, negatively impacting GOVT returns as indicated by the historical return surface.

Potential Outcomes: Fed rate cuts stimulating demand (35%)
Persistent inflation affecting yields (30%)
Economic stabilization (25%)
Geopolitical tensions impacting prices (10%)

March 22, 2025

BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares U.S. Treasury Bond Forecast

GOVT BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares U.S. Treasury Bond

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with GOVT

VGLT Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Long-Term Treasury (0.89)

AMT American Tower (0.84)

XLV Health Care Select Sector SPDR (0.79)

LLY Lilly(Eli) (0.72)

KO Coca-Cola (0.71)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GOVT

AVXL Anavex Life Sciences (0.0)

DPST Direxion Daily Regional Banks Bull 3X Shares (0.0)

MLI Mueller Industries (0.0)

IVW BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares S&P 500 Growth (0.0)

SEE Sealed Air (-0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GOVT

GTLS Chart Industries (-0.56)

RIOT Riot Blockchain (-0.59)

WST West Pharmaceutical Services (-0.62)

MNSO MINISO Group Holding Ltd (-0.62)

LAC Lithium Americas (-0.65)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.