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GWRS Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: GWRS's strategic acquisitions in Tucson could boost revenues, focusing on water resource management amid global scarcity. Social media sentiment reflects cautious optimism.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and recent negative price trends suggest investor uncertainty. Recent decline in stock price highlights potential financial instability and regulatory risks.

Potential Outcomes: Tucson acquisition boosts revenue: 55%. Regulatory approval: 45%. Continued decline: 25%. Volatile market response persists: 40%.

Trading Oracle: Trade GWRS using credit call spreads (short volatility), targeting strikes around $12.50 with expiration in 3 months. This strategy capitalizes on high implied volatility and bearish outlook, while limiting risk exposure.

December 24, 2024

Global Water Resources Forecast

GWRS Global Water Resources

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with GWRS

IAC IAC InterActiveCorp. (0.46)

LMND Lemonade (0.41)

CWH Camping World (0.38)

GTLS Chart Industries (0.37)

ARKG ARK Investment Management LLC - ARK Genomic Revolution (0.35)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GWRS

CHRW C.H. Robinson Worldwide (0.0)

FLR Fluor (-0.0)

NKE Nike (0.0)

TWO Two Harbors Investment (0.0)

TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GWRS

GTE Gran Tierra Energy (-0.15)

MPWR Monolithic Power System (-0.16)

BNO United States Commodity Funds LLC - United States Brent Crude Oil (-0.18)

UVXY ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.21)

LABD Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.23)

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