HQY Forecast


Bullish Case: HQY's recent acquisitions and consistent growth in HSAs increase revenue and profitability. The current mean-reversion trend and relatively high insider buying signal potential upside.


Bearish Case: Recent data breaches and macroeconomic uncertainties create downward pressure. HSA contribution limits and high volatility in HSA asset values present potential challenges.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued mean reversion leading to mild appreciation (45%).

2. Decline due to external macroeconomic shocks and data breach impacts (35%).

3. Sustained stagnation due to mixed signals (~20%).


Trading Oracle: Deploy a bullish debit spread by buying $85 strike calls and selling $90 strike calls expiring in 42 days. This strategy leverages HQY's recent financial results and mean-reverting behavior, ensuring a high reward-to-risk profile.


July 10, 2024


Healthequity Forecast

HQY      Healthequity











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YCS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YCS  ProShares UltraShort Yen (0.85)


BWXT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BWXT  BWX (0.84)


MCK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCK  Mckesson (0.84)


ANF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ANF  Abercrombie & Fitch (0.83)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HQY



ULTA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ULTA  Ulta Beauty (0.0)


EXPD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXPD  Expeditors International Of Washington (0.0)


ESTA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ESTA  Establishment Labs (0.0)


SAND Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAND  Sandstorm Gold (-0.0)


GRAB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GRAB  Grab Holdings Limited (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HQY



SOYB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SOYB  Teucrium Soybean (-0.86)


RC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RC  Ready (-0.87)


SGML Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SGML  Sigma Lithium (-0.87)


FLGT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLGT  Fulgent Genetics (-0.87)


CAR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAR  Avis Budget (-0.88)





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