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HSY Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Volatile options market with call bias suggests investor confidence. Hershey's strong brand and recent acquisitions enhance growth prospects.



Bearish Case: High cocoa prices and potential acquisition failures raise concerns. Implied volatility spikes indicate market uncertainty, risking profit margins.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Sustained market confidence drives growth (40%).

2. High costs pressure margins (35%).

3. Acquisition rumors impact sentiment (25%).



Trading Oracle: Opt for bullish credit spreads (short volatility), targeting May 2025 expiry. Sell $170 puts, buy $165 puts, capitalizing on brand resilience and a steady long-term outlook. Benefit from positive sentiment and implied volatility, ensuring high reward:risk ratio. Target 75% profit odds.


January 04, 2025


Hershey Forecast

HSY        Hershey

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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HSY


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SNAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SNAP  Snapchat (-0.01)


DOMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DOMO  Domo (-0.01)


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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HSY


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APO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APO  Apollo (-0.75)







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