BCE Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: BCE's strong dividend yield (8.9%+), combined with stabilization in interest rates, makes it attractive for income-focused investors, potentially driving demand and price appreciation.


Bearish Case: Persistent financial struggles, competitive pressures, and high debt levels create downward pressure on BCE's stock price. Lower implied volatility than the market indicates limited upside potential.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Stock price stabilization (35%) due to high dividend yield appeal.

2. Further decline (45%) from competitive pressures and market uncertainty.

3. Mild recovery (20%) if favorable regulatory changes occur.


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June 30, 2024










Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BCE



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.83)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.71)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.62)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.65)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BCE



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.62)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.65)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.71)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.83)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BCE



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.83)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.71)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.62)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.65)





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