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AI IBDS Forecast

Bullish Case: With potential economic stabilization and improved corporate yields ahead, IBDS may benefit from a bullish sentiment, reflecting historical trends of modest returns over extended holding periods.

Bearish Case: Ongoing economic challenges and rising interest rates could suppress demand for bonds like IBDS, leading to declines in prices as evidenced by negative returns in shorter holding periods.

Potential Outcomes:

1. 40% Stability: Relative market calm could sustain prices.

2. 30% Moderate Increase: Favorable economic indicators boost investor confidence.

3. 15% Sharp Decline: Unexpected economic downturn impacts prices.

4. 10% Sharp Increase: Regulatory or policy changes drive significant corporate bond demand.

5. 5% Prolonged Stagnation: Economic inertia yields low returns.

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August 24, 2024

iShares Trust - iShares iBonds Dec 2027 Term Corporate Forecast

IBDS iShares Trust - iShares iBonds Dec 2027 Term Corporate

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with IBDS

IEI BTC iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond (0.97)

URE ProShares Ultra Real Estate (0.93)

VCLT Vanguard Long-Term Corporate Bond (0.92)

XLRE Real Estate Select Sector SPDR (0.92)

VNQ Vanguard Real Estate Index (0.92)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to IBDS

ROK Rockwell Automation (0.0)

SOXX BTC iShares PHLX Semicond (-0.01)

FIGS Figs (-0.01)

IJH BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap (0.01)

MLI Mueller Industries (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against IBDS

EQT EQT (-0.76)

FNGR FingerMotion (-0.8)

TBT PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.89)

TMV Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (-0.9)

DRV Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares (-0.91)

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