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IBDS Forecast

Bullish Case: IBDS shows potential for stability with mean-reverting behavior and moderate gains amid economic recovery signs, appealing to conservative investors.

Bearish Case: Interest rate fluctuations and economic uncertainties persist, increasing risk of negative returns over shorter periods as shown in historical data.

Potential Outcomes: Stable Price (35%): Continued mean reversion.
Moderate Increase (25%): Economic improvements stabilize rates.
Decline (25%): Interest rate hikes apply pressure.
Sharp Increase (10%): Unexpected favorable data.
Sharp Decline (5%): Major economic shock.

April 20, 2025

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Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with IBDS

TSAT Telesat Corp (0.7)

ECL Ecolab (0.69)

SNY Sanofi (0.68)

ICE Intercontinental Exchange (0.67)

OPCH Option Care Health Inc. - Registered Shares (0.66)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to IBDS

CXW CoreCivic (-0.0)

ESI Element (0.01)

ARR ARMOUR Residential REIT (-0.02)

CL Colgate-Palmolive (-0.02)

KKR KKR (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against IBDS

OXY Occidental Petroleum (-0.63)

NBR Nabors Industries (-0.66)

ATKR Atkore (-0.67)

CLSK Cleanspark (-0.7)

NOG Northern Oil and Gas (-0.72)

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