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AI IDV Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: Positive macroeconomic shifts and increasing demand for high-yield dividends could drive IDV upwards, supported by historical performance trends indicating favorable returns over multi-year holding periods.

Bearish Case: Ongoing geopolitical tensions and a cooling global economy could lead to sustained underperformance in IDV, reflecting high implied volatility and increased market anxiety impacting dividend stocks.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Economic stabilization improves IDV performance (45%).

2. Geopolitical factors create volatility, hampering growth (35%).

3. Global financial instabilities trigger significant downturns (20%).

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August 20, 2024

BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares International Select Dividend Forecast

IDV BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares International Select Dividend

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with IDV

EPP BTC iShares MSCI Pacific (0.95)

EWC BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares MSCI Canada (0.93)

SPYD SPDR Series Trust - SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 High Dividend (0.93)

FHN First Horizon (0.93)

EFA BTC iShares MSCI EAFE (0.93)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to IDV

ZTS Zoetis (-0.0)

WY Weyerhaeuser (0.0)

BAX Baxter International (0.0)

AAOI Applied Optoelectronics (0.0)

GUSH Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exp. & Prod. (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against IDV

CANE Teucrium Sugar (-0.85)

SH ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.86)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.87)

RWM ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.89)

SRTY ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (-0.9)

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