JACK Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Positive sentiment from recent promotions and menu innovations supports potential growth, leveraging untapped markets.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and negative price trends suggest continued financial pressures and market skepticism.




Potential Outcomes: 30% chance of modest recovery, 40% risk of continued decline, 30% potential for flat performance.




Trading Oracle: Sell put credit spreads with a 1-month expiry, targeting $37.5/$35 to capitalize on implied volatility discrepancies. This approach balances moderate bullish sentiment and provides a high probability of profit.



January 15, 2025


Jack In The Box Forecast

JACK        Jack In The Box











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with JACK



WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (0.93)


AMR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMR  Alta Mesa Resources (0.9)


APLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APLS  Apellis Pharmaceuticals (0.9)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (0.9)


CRSR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRSR  Corsair Gaming (0.88)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to JACK



HCC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCC  Warrior Met Coal (0.01)


ILMN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ILMN  Illumina (-0.03)


GTLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GTLS  Chart Industries (-0.03)


CALX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CALX  Calix (-0.03)


FANG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FANG  Diamondback Energy (-0.04)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against JACK



XLP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLP  Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR (-0.9)


ERJ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ERJ  Embraer (-0.9)


GVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GVA  Granite Construction (-0.9)


TT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TT  Trane (-0.92)


BSX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BSX  Boston Scientific (-0.92)









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