JACK Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: JACK's strategic expansions into new markets and promotional partnerships like the Deadpool collaboration could boost brand visibility and sales, supporting potential stock price appreciation.


Bearish Case: Persistent negative price trends, high reliance on California markets facing labor cost pressures, and lack of historical returns make downside risk significant.


Potential Outcomes: 60% chance market stagnation; 20% expansion immaterial; 10% upside from promotions; 10% adverse impacts from increased labor costs/expansion risks.


Trading Oracle: Short-term bearish strategy due to Jack's negative historical price action and flat options term structure. Implement a 35-day bearish credit spread by selling JACK $55 strike call options and buying $57.5 strike call options. High PoP, ~75%, balances risk and volatility.


July 14, 2024


Jack In The Box Forecast

JACK      Jack In The Box











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DDD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DDD  3D Systems (0.95)


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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to JACK



NEE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NEE  NextEra Energy (0.0)


CRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRK  Comstock Resources (-0.0)


TROW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TROW  T. Rowe Price (0.0)


GNRC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GNRC  Generac (-0.0)


EFX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EFX  Equifax (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against JACK



CNX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNX  CNX Resources (-0.82)


SHEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHEL  Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) (-0.85)


ACGL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACGL  Arch (-0.85)


FTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FTI  TechnipFMC (-0.86)


YCS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YCS  ProShares UltraShort Yen (-0.88)





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