KBH Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: With a focus on innovative building and affordable housing, KBH can capture increased demand despite current volatility. Positive social media sentiment and relative stability highlight its growth potential.




Bearish Case: Persistently high mortgage rates could suppress buyer interest, while potential overvaluation concerns, as reflected in insider trading, might lead to a price decline. The market's flat implied volatility suggests limited upside.




Potential Outcomes: Growth from market recovery (35%), risk from high rates (40%), stable price action (15%), and sudden market shifts (10%).




Trading Oracle: Implement a bearish short volatility strategy by selling the $65 call and buying the $70 call expiring in ~14 days. This strategy has a 16% potential return with an annualized rate of 81%. Maximize probability with SPY correlation insights.



February 08, 2025


KB Home Forecast

KBH        KB Home











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with KBH



EXR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXR  Extra Space Storage (0.88)


MHK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MHK  Mohawk Industries (0.87)


ITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITB  BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (0.87)


LHX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LHX  L3Harris (0.84)


LEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEN  Lennar (0.84)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to KBH



DBX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DBX  Dropbox (0.0)


VERA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VERA  Vera Therapeutics (0.01)


FANG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FANG  Diamondback Energy (-0.01)


EMR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EMR  Emerson Electric (-0.02)


HIMX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMX  Himax (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against KBH



ABCL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABCL  AbCellera Biologics (-0.69)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.7)


FRSH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRSH  Freshworks (-0.72)


SONY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SONY  Sony Group Corporation (-0.72)


LABD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LABD  Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.83)









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