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* Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.
* Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.
The blue line is Helium's historical forecast. The black line is the actual closing price. Full transparency of past predictions. Hover over points for more information. Video Walkthrough.
Future Price Cone
The future price cone means the model thinks there is a 80% chance the price will land within the bounds of the cone. A blue cone is neutral, a green cone is bullish, and a red cone is bearish.
Model Correlation
Higher (closer to 1) means a more accurate model and lower (closer to -1) means a less accurate model. This is the Spearman Correlation between model predicted percent change and actual percent change calculated over the last 150 days.
Percent Correct (up or down)
This is the percent of the time our models predicted the correct direction of the price (either up or down) over the last 150 days.
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* Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.
Transparent KDP Forecast
Trade smarter with daily optimized AI models + news analysis.
Show historical bullish cases
June 17, 2023: Upside convexity opportunity identified by Helium Trades with positive edge in 35 days [Helium]; low implied volatility at 9th percentile [Helium].
July 08, 2023: KDP's U.S refreshment beverage's continuous growth may offset coffee weakness, with strong and consistent market share gains expected [seekingalpha.com]. Morgan Stanley's upgrade to Overweight and compelling valuation also strengthen the bullish case [seekingalpha.com].
July 28, 2023: Keurig Dr Pepper's recent partnership with La Colombe, significant investment in energy drinks and positive performance forecast in the US refreshment sector signals growth potential [The Street][news-journal.com][Yahoo][Helium][Helium].
August 17, 2023: Keurig Dr Pepper's partnership with La Colombe[news-journal.com] and significant investment in energy drinks[news-journal.com] indicate growth potential, bolstered by insider stock purchases suggesting company confidence[benzinga.com].
September 09, 2023: Keurig Dr Pepper demonstrated financial strength with Q2 results exceeding estimates, YoY growth of 6.6%, and prominent investors like Fmr LLC increasing their stake [beststocks.com]. Insider trading also shows confidence in future prospects [benzinga.com].
Show historical bearish cases
June 17, 2023: Downside convexity opportunity identified by Helium Trades in 217 days [Helium]; KDP trading down 7.5% from a year ago and 10.2% from 60 days ago [Helium][Helium].
July 08, 2023: Downside risks remain evident in KDP's coffee segment, which is experiencing 'softness' [seekingalpha.com]. Also, the stock has declined significantly over the last five, two, and one year periods [Helium, Helium, Helium].
July 28, 2023: Inflation pressure, rising costs, supply-chain disruptions and recent underperformance in the coffee segment present considerable challenges for Keurig Dr Pepper [Yahoo][Helium][Helium][Helium].
August 17, 2023: The persistent underperformance in Keurig Dr Pepper's coffee segment[seekingalpha.com] and existing pressures from inflation and rising costs are key bearish indicators[Yahoo].
September 09, 2023: Despite overall positive performance, the unsteady recovery of the U.S coffee sector raises concern [seekingalpha.com]. The company's stock trading lower than historical levels also indicates potential downside [Helium][Helium][Helium][Helium].
Show historical takeaways
June 17, 2023: KDP's near-term upside convexity and low implied volatility provide potential growth opportunities, though downside risks should be considered.
July 08, 2023: While KDP faces challenges in its coffee segment, its strong performance in the U.S. refreshment beverages sector offers potential growth. However, sustained downside in longer time horizons shouldn't be ignored [seekingalpha.com, Helium, Helium, Helium].
July 28, 2023: While Keurig Dr Pepper faces obstacles in its coffee segment, the company's strategic investments and gains in the refreshment sector provide growth prospects [Helium]. However, sustained economic challenges should not be overlooked [Helium][Helium].
August 17, 2023: KDP's growth potential stemming from strategic partnerships and product diversification should be weighed against its underperforming coffee segment and economic headwinds[seekingalpha.com][news-journal.com][Yahoo].
September 09, 2023: While KDP shows positive performance, uncertainty builds due to instability in the U.S coffee sector, informing mixed investment views. The movement of major stockholders & insiders may hint at future prospects [beststocks.com][benzinga.com][seekingalpha.com].
[KDP] Keurig Dr Pepper
Price Forecast: NEUTRAL
Price Action: MEAN REVERTING
* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy
of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions,
you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.
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