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KDP Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: KDP shows resilience with significant recent price gains. Investments and strategic expansions could further drive growth, especially if the coffee segment stabilizes.



Bearish Case: KDP faces continued challenges in the coffee segment with insider selling increasing bearish sentiment. The historical price trends indicate a prolonged downturn risk.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Growth in refreshment beverages boosts stock (40%).

2. Continued struggles in coffee weigh down performance (35%).

3. Price flattens due to market uncertainty (25%).



Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread by buying the $35 call and selling the $37 call, expiring in ~55 days. This strategy benefits from recent bullish momentum and favorable implied volatility, maximizing risk:reward.


February 22, 2025


Keurig Dr Pepper Forecast

KDP        Keurig Dr Pepper

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with KDP


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (0.88)


IFF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IFF  International Flavors & Fragrances (0.88)


ACGL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACGL  Arch (0.82)


ATI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ATI  Allegheny (0.81)


AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (0.78)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to KDP


WFRD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WFRD  Weatherford International plc - New (-0.0)


BKSY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BKSY  BlackSky Technology (0.0)


UBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UBS  UBS (-0.01)


BHP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BHP  BHP Group Limited (-0.01)


FND Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FND  Floor & Decor (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against KDP


LAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LAC  Lithium Americas (-0.73)


TS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TS  Tenaris S.A. (-0.74)


DV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DV  DoubleVerify (-0.77)


CRNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRNC  Cerence (-0.78)


FRSH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRSH  Freshworks (-0.86)







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