KDP Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Strategic expansions, improving refreshment segment, and insider confidence bolster future upside. Innovative beverage launches add potential growth drivers.




Bearish Case: Ongoing coffee segment underperformance, high inflation, and competitive pressures weigh on profitability. Negative market sentiment persists.




Potential Outcomes: 35% increase via strategic gains; 30% flat ranging due to mean reversion; 35% downside from coffee segment challenges.




Trading Oracle: Consider a bear call spread at $31/$32 strikes expiring in 37 days. Leverage discrepancies in Helium-Market volatilities with high-edge negative deltas. Align with historical mean reverting trends and 74% Helium profit odds.



January 16, 2025


Keurig Dr Pepper Forecast

KDP        Keurig Dr Pepper











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KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (0.85)


FE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FE  Firstenergy (0.79)


AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (0.77)


CWEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CWEN  Clearway Energy (0.76)


PSFE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PSFE  Paysafe Limited (0.76)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to KDP



NKLA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NKLA  Nikola (0.0)


VSCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSCO  Victoria's Secret (0.01)


MAX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAX  MediaAlpha (0.01)


HCC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCC  Warrior Met Coal (-0.01)


EH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EH  EHang Holdings Ltd - (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against KDP



CRNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRNC  Cerence (-0.74)


HTZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HTZ  Hertz Global Holdings (-0.74)


VERV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VERV  Verve Therapeutics (-0.75)


LAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LAC  Lithium Americas (-0.77)


FRSH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRSH  Freshworks (-0.83)









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