Bullish Case: Strong Q4 earnings, a substantial Space Force contract, and above-consensus revenue predictions for 2024 suggest KTOS's upward trajectory.


Bearish Case: Recent insider sales, potential volatility in the defense sector, and a mean-reverting price action could signal upcoming challenges for KTOS.


Potential Outcomes:

1) 60% chance of growth on government contracts.

2) 25% chance of stagnation with investor skepticism.

3) 15% downside risk on insider selling impact.


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April 17, 2024


Kratos Defense & Security Forecast

KTOS        Kratos Defense & Security
Price Forecast: BULLISH    Price Action: MEAN REVERTING (?)






Correlated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly with KTOS



PDD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [PDD]  Pinduoduo (0.92)


LPG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [LPG]  Dorian LPG (0.91)


ATGE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [ATGE]  Adtalem Global Education (0.9)


LOGI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [LOGI]  Logitech International (0.9)


WELL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [WELL]  Welltower (0.89)



Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets with little price relationship to KTOS



ANNX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [ANNX]  Annexon (0.0)


PCG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [PCG]  PG&E (0.0)


XPEV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [XPEV]  XPeng (0.0)


TSN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [TSN]  Tyson Foods (-0.01)


LCII Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [LCII]  LCI Industries (0.01)



Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against KTOS



FNV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [FNV]  Franco-Nevada (-0.87)


HSY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [HSY]  Hershey (-0.87)


HROW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [HROW]  Harrow Health (-0.87)


BMY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [BMY]  Bristol-Myers Squibb (-0.87)


SKIN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SKIN]  Beauty Health Company (The) (-0.91)





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