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Price Forecast:

Bullish Case: Potential regulatory easing and increased institutional interest could trigger significant upside. Given historical data, longer holding periods exhibit strong returns, especially if momentum shifts favorably, suggesting a possible return to the $7.50 range within 6 months.

Bearish Case: Continued regulatory uncertainties and macroeconomic pressures could exacerbate downward momentum, leading to increased volatility and potential losses beyond 30%. Historical trends indicate weak performance under similar circumstances, with high probability for further declines.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Regulatory Relief (20%): 15% gain.

2. Market Recovery (30%): 10% gain over 6 months.

3. Continued Downtrend (50%): 25% loss due to market sentiment and economic factors. These predictions are grounded in recent performance and market sentiment analysis.

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October 13, 2024