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LBRDA Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: The mean-reverting price pattern and rising demand for streaming services can support a price rebound, especially when coupled with strategic media rights efforts.

Bearish Case: The high put option volatility and negative price trend suggest market skepticism. Regulatory risks and competitive pressures could further depress prices.

Potential Outcomes: 30% chance: Regulatory changes positively impact broadband expansion.
40% chance: Continued market stagnation owing to competitive pressures.
30% chance: Significant downside if economic downturns persist.

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January 22, 2025

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LBRDA Series

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with LBRDA

TVTX Travere Therapeutics (0.87)

COMM CommScope (0.84)

VSCO Victoria's Secret (0.79)

TSAT Telesat Corp (0.78)

CWAN Clearwater Analytics Holdings (0.78)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LBRDA

DQ Daqo New Energy (-0.0)

BMEA Biomea Fusion (-0.0)

OLED Universal Display (-0.0)

CRNC Cerence (-0.0)

AMC AMC Entertainment (0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LBRDA

VAL Valaris (-0.74)

ENTG Entegris (-0.75)

ASML New York Shares (-0.81)

OXY Occidental Petroleum (-0.82)

WFRD Weatherford International plc - New (-0.83)

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