LBRDA Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: The underlying technology and media rights, particularly in emerging markets, can drive future growth. Historical volatility implies potential for recovery, especially amid promising technological advancements.




Bearish Case: Persistent volatility and stagnation in price suggest market skepticism. High implied volatility, historical downturns, and competitive pressures forecast downside, overshadowing growth catalysts.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Market stabilization with modest recovery (40%).

2. Continued stagnation with high implied volatility (50%).

3. Regulatory or competitive challenges lead to decline (10%).



April 21, 2025


Series Forecast

LBRDA        Series











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with LBRDA



FAST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FAST  Fastenal (0.9)


ALL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALL  Allstate (0.83)


ITA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITA  BTC iShares U.S. Aerospac (0.82)


BK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BK  Bank Of New York Mellon (0.82)


IMAX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IMAX  Imax (0.81)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LBRDA



HCA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCA  HCA Healthcare (-0.0)


CMCSA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMCSA  Comcast (0.0)


XLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLV  Health Care Select Sector SPDR (-0.01)


AA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AA  Alcoa (-0.02)


LYFT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LYFT  Lyft (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LBRDA



STNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNG  Scorpio Tankers (-0.74)


ASH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASH  Ashland (-0.74)


XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (-0.76)


MEG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MEG  Montrose Environmental (-0.76)


TDW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDW  Tidewater Inc. - New (-0.79)









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