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LEN Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: Lennar's robust land acquisitions signal strong housing demand, potentially boosting revenues amid easing interest rates in 2025, which aligns with current market optimism.

Bearish Case: Persistent high mortgage rates and potential market saturation continue to threaten Lennar's growth trajectory, suggesting volatility may increase as economic pressures unfold.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued housing demand increases revenue (35% chance);

2. Rate cuts propel demand (30% chance);

3. Market saturation slows growth (25% chance);

4. Competitive pressures hinder performance (10% chance).

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November 14, 2024

Lennar Forecast

LEN Lennar

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with LEN

ITB BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (0.98)

PHM PulteGroup (0.96)

NAIL Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares (0.94)

SHW Sherwin-Williams (0.9)

POST Post (0.89)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LEN

PTON Peloton Interactive (-0.0)

THO Thor Industries (-0.01)

WY Weyerhaeuser (0.02)

LYB LyondellBasell Industries (-0.02)

CCJ Cameco (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LEN

BIIB Biogen (-0.74)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.75)

CAR Avis Budget (-0.76)

SDS ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.78)

RWM ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.86)

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