LLY Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Eli Lilly's strong pipeline in obesity and Alzheimer's treatment boosts investor confidence, supporting continued stock appreciation.




Bearish Case: High valuation ratios and potential regulatory challenges could lead to market corrections, hindering stock performance.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 40% chance of price increase driven by drug pipeline success and earnings growth.
  • 30% chance of downside due to overvaluation concerns.
  • 30% chance of minimal changes based on external market conditions.




Trading Oracle:

Deploy a Bullish Short Volatility strategy given the market's neutral view with slight bullish sentiment. Sell ATM put options and buy OOTM put options, tapping into favorable volatility and risk-reward balance, with an expected positive edge.



March 22, 2025


Lilly(Eli) Forecast

LLY        Lilly(Eli)











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