MBWM Forecast


Bullish Case: MBWM has shown a strong historical return pattern, currently experiencing a price increase up to 40.6% from a year ago. The implied volatility for longer-dated call options is relatively low, indicating market stability and potential price growth.


Bearish Case: The market implied volatility surface shows heightened uncertainty at lower strike prices, indicating potential risk if current economic conditions deteriorate. Persisting regulatory challenges could impede future price growth, necessitating caution.


Potential Outcomes: High probability of regulatory headwinds impacting MBWM: 50%, positive financial health and dividend trends continuing: 40%, short-term price fluctuations: 10%.


Trading Oracle: Utilize credit spreads (Helium Short Volatility) considering the stable implied volatility and positive price trend. Favor bullish spreads focusing on $35-$45 strikes, expiring in 2-4 months. Capitalize on consistent premium decay and exploit low market implied volatility for high reward:risk trades.


June 28, 2024


Mercantile Forecast

MBWM      Mercantile











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Assets that tend to move strongly against MBWM



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DRV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DRV  Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares (-0.79)





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