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AI MC Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: Despite temporary market fluctuations, increased M&A activity and strategic partnerships are likely to push MC's price towards a robust upward trend, potentially capitalizing on high investor interest and call option volume.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and a majority of bearish put volumes suggest skepticism among traders, indicating a price correction could occur if market conditions worsen or earnings disappoint.

Potential Outcomes:

1. M&A activity boosts stock value: 45%

2. Significant earnings miss jeopardizes price: 35%

3. Sustained stagnation leads to a gradual decline: 20%. These probabilities reflect historic price movements and current volatility metrics.

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September 07, 2024

Moelis Forecast

MC Moelis

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MC

WAL Western Alliance Bancorp (0.93)

SNV Synovus Financial (0.9)

LC LendingClub (0.9)

AX Axos Financial (0.89)

IAT BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares U.S. Regional Banks (0.89)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MC

HPP Hudson Pacific Properties (0.0)

NEOG Neogen (0.0)

BMRN Registered Shares (0.0)

GPC Genuine Parts (0.01)

BORR Borr Drilling (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MC

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.79)

SH ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.8)

SRTY ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (-0.85)

RWM ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.86)

DRV Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares (-0.87)

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