MERC Forecast


Bullish Case: MERC may rebound due to stable historical returns showing potential recovery around $8, supported by reduced implied volatility and insider buying trends. Upcoming product launches could drive bullish sentiment and demand.




Bearish Case: High current implied volatility suggests significant market uncertainty, indicating risks of further declines. If economic conditions worsen, MERC could trend towards lower levels, potentially reaching $5.




Potential Outcomes:

1. 40% chance MERC rallies to $8 with positive product reception.

2. 35% chance remains flat around $6 due to ongoing low trading volume.

3. 25% chance declines to $5 amidst increased market uncertainty.




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November 19, 2024


Mercer International Forecast

MERC        Mercer International











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MERC



MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (0.86)


RILY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RILY  B. Riley Financial (0.85)


PTEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTEN  Patterson-UTI Energy (0.82)


W Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   W  Wayfair (0.81)


BBWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBWI  Bath & Body Works (0.81)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MERC



THO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   THO  Thor Industries (-0.0)


GL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GL  Globe Life (-0.01)


RJF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RJF  Raymond James Financial (0.01)


IGT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IGT  International Game Technology (0.02)


CG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CG  Carlyle (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MERC



BTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BTI  British American Tobacco (-0.77)


COMM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COMM  CommScope (-0.78)


CWAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CWAN  Clearwater Analytics Holdings (-0.78)


CIM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CIM  Chimera Investment (-0.8)


INFY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INFY  Infosys (-0.87)









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