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AI MFM Forecast

Bullish Case: Rising investor interest and stable dividend yield of 4.31% suggest potential for a market rebound. MFM's consistent performance above the 200-day SMA indicates resilience, making it attractive for income-focused investors.

Bearish Case: High PE ratio (170.5) and potential economic downturn threaten MFM's valuation, with risks of a dividend cut impacting investor sentiment. Historical returns show a likelihood of negative outcomes as holding periods increase.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued flat price action (60%),

2. Dividend cut leading to sell-off (20%),

3. Economic downturn negatively impacting MFM (20%). The surface graph supports these probabilities with returns trending negative over longer held periods.

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August 13, 2024

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MFM

HYD VanEck ETF Trust - VanEck High Yield Muni (0.95)

ICE Intercontinental Exchange (0.94)

BURL Burlington Stores (0.94)

XBI SPDR Biotech (0.93)

XLV Health Care Select Sector SPDR (0.93)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MFM

SNY Sanofi (0.0)

POET POET (-0.0)

MT New York Shares (-0.0)

SJM J.M. Smucker (0.0)

AMBA Ambarella (0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MFM

SQQQ ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (-0.89)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.9)

SH ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.9)

DRV Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares (-0.9)

FNGR FingerMotion (-0.91)

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