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MGK Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: With MGK trading at $340.35 and a 55% bullish risk, positive earnings reports could drive prices above $350. Expected institutional demand and tech sector strength underpin this bullish sentiment.

Bearish Case: Given high implied volatility at 44.9% for near-term puts, potential economic headwinds could trigger a decline. Current uncertainty in market factors might pull MGK below $320, posing risks.

Potential Outcomes:

1. 50% chance MGK rises to $355+ on strong earnings;

2. 35% chance remaining within $330-$340 range;

3. 10% chance dropping to $300 due to economic downturn;

4. 5% chance a breakout above $360.

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November 14, 2024

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MGK

XLG Invesco Capital Management LLC - Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 (1.0)

SPXL Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares (0.99)

PTF Invesco Capital Management LLC - Invesco DWA Technology Momentum (0.98)

COHR Coherent (0.96)

ISRG Intuitive Surgical (0.95)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MGK

MPC Marathon Petroleum (0.01)

XOP SPDR Oil & Gas Exploration and Production (0.02)

S Sprint (-0.02)

EWY iShares MSCI South Korea (-0.02)

QURE uniQure (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MGK

HTZ Hertz Global Holdings (-0.87)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.87)

JACK Jack In The Box (-0.88)

COUR Coursera (-0.89)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.99)

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