MITT Forecast




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: Bullish momentum may emerge due to anticipated merger benefits, coupled with lower implied volatility over time. If confidence in the housing market returns, MITT could experience a rebound, leveraging support from operational efficiencies.




Bearish Case: Conversely, sustained high implied volatility presents significant downside risk, especially with ongoing pressures from interest rate increases and potential default spikes damaging investor sentiment. Price could further drop if market conditions worsen.




Potential Outcomes:

1. 60% - Successful merger drives stock recovery, increasing performance.

2. 25% - Flat performance due to external market pressure leads to stagnant shares.

3. 15% - Unexpected spikes in defaults lead to sharp price declines. Each outcome reflects historical performance trends and current market volatility.




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November 17, 2024


AG Mortgage Investment Forecast

MITT        AG Mortgage Investment











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MITT



CIM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CIM  Chimera Investment (0.88)


IIPR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IIPR  Innovative Industrial Properties (0.86)


HRB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HRB  H&R Block (0.83)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (0.82)


STX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STX  Seagate Technology (0.81)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MITT



FANG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FANG  Diamondback Energy (0.01)


FRO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRO  Frontline (-0.01)


TWLO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TWLO  Twilio (0.02)


CPRT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CPRT  Copart (-0.02)


MP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MP  MP Materials (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MITT



DLTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DLTR  Dollar Tree (-0.75)


PTEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTEN  Patterson-UTI Energy (-0.75)


BLMN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BLMN  Bloomin Brands (-0.75)


CLF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLF  Cleveland-Cliffs (-0.76)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.76)









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