MLN Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Potential stabilization in interest rates could increase demand for MLN, benefiting from high implied volatility and possible tax-exempt income advantages.




Bearish Case: Persistent interest rate hikes and geopolitical tensions could suppress demand for municipal bonds, threatening MLN's market appeal.




Potential Outcomes: Interest rate hike (30%), geopolitical tensions (25%), increased demand for municipal bonds (20%), stable growth (15%), regulatory changes (10%).




Trading Oracle: Long Volatility Debit Spread on MLN, targeting a 15-18 strike range over a 6-month horizon. High implied volatility signals potential large swings; this spread optimizes high reward:risk while remaining adaptable to possible movements. Focus on tightening exit strategies.



January 09, 2025


VanEck ETF Trust - VanEck Long Muni Forecast

MLN        VanEck ETF Trust - VanEck Long Muni











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WY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WY  Weyerhaeuser (0.4)


CZR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CZR  Caesars Entertainment (0.39)


BCE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BCE  BCE (0.39)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MLN



AAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AAP  Advance Auto Parts (-0.0)


VAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAL  Valaris (0.0)


TSN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TSN  Tyson Foods (-0.0)


FNA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FNA  Paragon 28 (-0.0)


RVLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RVLV  Revolve (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MLN



UVXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVXY  ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.32)


ACB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACB  Aurora Cannabis (-0.35)


EH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EH  EHang Holdings Ltd - (-0.35)


SU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SU  Suncor Energy (-0.37)


TMV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMV  Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (-0.61)









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