Bullish Case: MYSZ's recent price surge (+122.4% YoY) indicates strong recovery momentum fueled by innovative market strategies. Positive sentiment and strategic shifts could drive further growth and recover losses from previous declines.

Bearish Case: MYSZ's historical mean-reversion trend and ongoing volatility suggest a risk of significant declines. Macroeconomic pressures may further exacerbate this, risking downward corrections in price.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued bullish growth (+10%): 40% probability.

2. Correction to mean-reversion (-20%): 40% probability.

3. Price stagnation (0%): 20% probability. External factors like market sentiment and macroeconomic trends will influence these outcomes.

Trading Oracle: Adopt a bearish credit spread strategy by selling calls at $2.00 and buying calls at $2.50, capitalizing on the historical mean-reversion tendency over the next month. This method captures time decay and offers a high probability of profit given current volatility. Focus on maintaining a favorable risk/reward ratio.

December 10, 2024