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NINE Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: NINE's historical mean reversion and potential market stabilization in the energy sector could drive upward momentum, especially if regulatory changes support growth.



Bearish Case: High volatility and market uncertainty, coupled with a negative AI price forecast, suggest continued downside risk, with external factors potentially exacerbating NINE's challenges.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Stable energy market drives modest recovery: 40%
  • Continued bearish sentiment causing price declines: 45%
  • Volatility spike benefiting options strategies: 15%



Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish debit spread targeting July 2025 NINE calls, leveraging mean reversion potential. Given elevated implied volatility, aim for a high reward-to-risk ratio with potential price stabilization or slight recovery. This strategy captures upside while managing downside risk effectively.


January 21, 2025


Nine Energy Service Forecast

NINE        Nine Energy Service

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with NINE


PTEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTEN  Patterson-UTI Energy (0.91)


SLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SLB  Schlumberger (0.9)


PSX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PSX  Phillips 66 (0.89)


GO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GO  Grocery Outlet (0.89)


AAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AAP  Advance Auto Parts (0.87)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NINE


FXE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FXE  Invesco CurrencyShares Euro (-0.0)


NOVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOVA  Sunnova Energy International (-0.01)


WHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WHR  Whirlpool (0.01)


VTRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTRS  Viatris (0.02)


THS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   THS  Treehouse Foods (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NINE


AFL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AFL  Aflac (-0.84)


SO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SO  Southern (-0.84)


INSG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INSG  Inseego (-0.85)


CHRW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHRW  C.H. Robinson Worldwide (-0.86)


NOK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOK  Nokia (-0.87)







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