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NINE Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: NINE has historical spikes in returns, particularly over 2-3 year periods, suggesting potential for recovery amid regulatory improvements and energy demand resurgence.



Bearish Case: Negative market sentiment and geopolitical factors may continue to suppress NINE’s price, with low historical returns over shorter holding periods indicating substantial downside risks.



Potential Outcomes:
  1. Flat Q4 results leading to a 40% likelihood of modest recovery in 2025.
  2. Continued bearish sentiment affecting prices: 35% chance.
  3. Volatility causing trading opportunities: 25% chance of positive options impact.



Trading Oracle: Consider implementing a bullish debit spread, targeting NINE 01/17/2025 calls due to elevated implied volatility. Focus on near-term recovery with high reward-to-risk potential, leveraging historical data that shows significant upside in returns over medium-term holding periods.


December 15, 2024


Nine Energy Service Forecast

NINE        Nine Energy Service

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Assets that tend to move strongly with NINE


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HTZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HTZ  Hertz Global Holdings (0.89)


LEA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEA  Lear (0.88)


DIN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DIN  Dine Brands (0.87)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (0.87)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NINE


ABEO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABEO  Abeona Therapeutics (-0.01)


INTU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INTU  Intuit (-0.01)


FXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FXY  Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen (0.02)


DNN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DNN  Denison Mines (-0.02)


CRNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRNT  Ceragon Networks (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NINE


GWRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GWRE  Guidewire Software (-0.86)


HEI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HEI  Heico (-0.87)


ONON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ONON  On (-0.87)


BSX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BSX  Boston Scientific (-0.88)


NOK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOK  Nokia (-0.9)







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