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NOBL Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Bullish sentiment may prevail as the NOBL options market shows heightened call activity, suggesting a robust demand may drive prices upwards, complemented by potential improvements in economic conditions.



Bearish Case: A bearish sentiment may arise from elevated volatility indicated by the implied volatility surface, suggesting potential for price swings that could lead to declines, particularly if market conditions worsen unexpectedly.



Potential Outcomes:

1. NOBL increases by 5% (40% chance) if current bullish sentiment holds.

2. Price remains stable (30% chance) due to mixed economic signals.

3. NOBL declines by 10% (30% chance) triggered by volatility spikes and negative market developments.



Trading Oracle: Engage in a bullish debit spread by buying the NOBL 106.00 C and selling the NOBL 107.00 C to capitalize on anticipated upward movement. This strategy utilizes higher implied volatility for a net cost under $1. Time horizon: near-term; risk management through premium decay.


November 17, 2024


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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with NOBL


SPYV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPYV  SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value (0.97)


PHM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PHM  PulteGroup (0.96)


UNM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNM  Unum (0.96)


ITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITB  BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (0.96)


OMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OMC  Omnicom Group (0.95)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NOBL


HCC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCC  Warrior Met Coal (0.0)


BUD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BUD  Anheuser-Busch (-0.0)


CHTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHTR  Charter Communications (0.01)


RRR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RRR  Red Rock Resorts (-0.01)


UCTT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UCTT  Ultra Clean Hldgs (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NOBL


CRSR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRSR  Corsair Gaming (-0.81)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.82)


BIIB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIIB  Biogen (-0.82)


EWCZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWCZ  European Wax Center (-0.83)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.88)







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