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NOVA Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Sunnova's potential rebound could come from strategic pivots and growth in renewable energy, attracting investment and enhancing company valuations in a greener market.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and substantial past losses highlight ongoing financial instability, coupled with legal troubles and macroeconomic pressures, suggesting continued downside risk.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Strategic execution boosts market share (20%).

2. Legal issues depress stock further (60%).

3. Renewable incentives foster moderate growth (30%).

4. Economic downturn amplifies decline (40%).

April 26, 2025

Sunnova Energy International Forecast

NOVA Sunnova Energy International

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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UWMC UWM Holdings Corporation (0.87)

CUBE CubeSmart (0.85)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NOVA

TT Trane (-0.01)

APPN Appian (-0.01)

RY Royal Bank Of Canada (0.02)

OVV Ovintiv (-0.02)

XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NOVA

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MAIN Main Street (-0.74)

PLBY PLBY (-0.75)

BB BlackBerry (-0.8)

MP MP Materials (-0.81)

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