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NOVA Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Speculative recovery possible with strategic shifts and regulatory support, despite low trading volumes and historical decline.

Bearish Case: High volatility, liquidity issues, and looming bankruptcy risks suggest persistent downward pressure on NOVA’s price.

Potential Outcomes: Bankruptcy filing (60%) - Financial distress indicators are strong.
Strategic reforms improve outlook (20%) - Requires rapid adaptation.
Continued decline with volatility (20%) - Historical patterns and investor skepticism persist.

March 19, 2025

Sunnova Energy International Forecast

NOVA Sunnova Energy International

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Assets that tend to move strongly with NOVA

CL Colgate-Palmolive (0.8)

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IFF International Flavors & Fragrances (0.78)

MPWR Monolithic Power System (0.77)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NOVA

AAP Advance Auto Parts (-0.0)

RY Royal Bank Of Canada (-0.0)

UUUU Energy Fuels (0.01)

APPF Appfolio (-0.01)

SU Suncor Energy (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NOVA

ULCC Frontier (-0.78)

AAL American Airlines (-0.78)

AMPL Amplitude (-0.79)

EUO ProShares UltraShort Euro (-0.79)

HUBS HubSpot (-0.83)

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