NOVA Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Speculative recovery possible with strategic shifts and regulatory support, despite low trading volumes and historical decline.




Bearish Case: High volatility, liquidity issues, and looming bankruptcy risks suggest persistent downward pressure on NOVA’s price.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Bankruptcy filing (60%) - Financial distress indicators are strong.
  • Strategic reforms improve outlook (20%) - Requires rapid adaptation.
  • Continued decline with volatility (20%) - Historical patterns and investor skepticism persist.



March 19, 2025


Sunnova Energy International Forecast

NOVA        Sunnova Energy International











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CL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CL  Colgate-Palmolive (0.8)


VGLT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VGLT  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Long-Term Treasury (0.8)


FXE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FXE  Invesco CurrencyShares Euro (0.78)


IFF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IFF  International Flavors & Fragrances (0.78)


MPWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MPWR  Monolithic Power System (0.77)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NOVA



AAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AAP  Advance Auto Parts (-0.0)


RY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RY  Royal Bank Of Canada (-0.0)


UUUU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UUUU  Energy Fuels (0.01)


APPF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APPF  Appfolio (-0.01)


SU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SU  Suncor Energy (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NOVA



ULCC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ULCC  Frontier (-0.78)


AAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AAL  American Airlines (-0.78)


AMPL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMPL  Amplitude (-0.79)


EUO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EUO  ProShares UltraShort Euro (-0.79)


HUBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HUBS  HubSpot (-0.83)









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