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NOVA Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Speculative recovery possible with strategic shifts and regulatory support, despite low trading volumes and historical decline.

Bearish Case: High volatility, liquidity issues, and looming bankruptcy risks suggest persistent downward pressure on NOVA’s price.

Potential Outcomes: Bankruptcy filing (60%) - Financial distress indicators are strong.
Strategic reforms improve outlook (20%) - Requires rapid adaptation.
Continued decline with volatility (20%) - Historical patterns and investor skepticism persist.

March 19, 2025

Sunnova Energy International Forecast

NOVA Sunnova Energy International

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with NOVA

MYGN Myriad Genetics (0.9)

THS Treehouse Foods (0.86)

OLED Universal Display (0.81)

VGLT Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Long-Term Treasury (0.8)

IFF International Flavors & Fragrances (0.78)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NOVA

AAP Advance Auto Parts (-0.0)

RY Royal Bank Of Canada (-0.0)

MTN Vail Resorts (0.01)

UUUU Energy Fuels (0.01)

CWH Camping World (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NOVA

BB BlackBerry (-0.76)

SCHW Charles Schwab (-0.77)

AAL American Airlines (-0.78)

AMPL Amplitude (-0.79)

HUBS HubSpot (-0.83)

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