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MP Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Strong demand in EV and tech sectors could propel MP upwards. Strategic positioning and recent government support indicate potential growth, despite high volatility.

Bearish Case: Persistent high volatility and geopolitical tensions could lead to further declines. Economic pressures and historical underperformance amplify downside risks.

Potential Outcomes: Recovery (45%): Driven by EV sector demand. Sideways (30%): Market uncertainty sustains. Decline (25%): Ongoing volatility and geopolitical risks.

June 20, 2025

MP Materials Forecast

MP MP Materials

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MP

COMP Compass (0.88)

JFIN Jiayin (0.87)

PPL PPL (0.87)

HOOD Robinhood Markets (0.86)

SAP Sap SE (0.85)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MP

HRI Herc (0.0)

HL Hecla Mining (-0.01)

FSLY Fastly (0.01)

IYT BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares U.S. Transportation (0.02)

POWW AMMO (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MP

NVO Novo Nordisk (-0.86)

ADM Archer Daniels Midland (-0.87)

ASC Ardmore Shipping (-0.87)

STNG Scorpio Tankers (-0.87)

CAL Caleres (-0.89)

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