MP Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Strong demand in EV and tech sectors could propel MP upwards. Strategic positioning and recent government support indicate potential growth, despite high volatility.




Bearish Case: Persistent high volatility and geopolitical tensions could lead to further declines. Economic pressures and historical underperformance amplify downside risks.




Potential Outcomes: Recovery (45%): Driven by EV sector demand. Sideways (30%): Market uncertainty sustains. Decline (25%): Ongoing volatility and geopolitical risks.



June 20, 2025


MP Materials Forecast

MP        MP Materials











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MP



COMP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COMP  Compass (0.88)


JFIN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JFIN  Jiayin (0.87)


PPL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPL  PPL (0.87)


HOOD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HOOD  Robinhood Markets (0.86)


SAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAP  Sap SE (0.85)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MP



HRI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HRI  Herc (0.0)


HL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HL  Hecla Mining (-0.01)


FSLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FSLY  Fastly (0.01)


IYT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IYT  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares U.S. Transportation (0.02)


POWW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   POWW  AMMO (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MP



NVO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NVO  Novo Nordisk (-0.86)


ADM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADM  Archer Daniels Midland (-0.87)


ASC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASC  Ardmore Shipping (-0.87)


STNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNG  Scorpio Tankers (-0.87)


CAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAL  Caleres (-0.89)









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