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ORC Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: ORC's recent integration with major DEXs boosts liquidity, while strategic partnerships and community engagement signal potential growth. Historical mean reversion suggests upside potential.



Bearish Case: Persistent book value declines and high implied volatility signal ongoing risks. Market sentiment remains cautious amid concerns over REIT sustainability in volatile interest rate spaces.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Rebound due to mean reversion: 35% chance.
  • Continued decline amid book value pressure: 50% chance.
  • Stable performance with external stabilization: 15% chance.


May 21, 2025


Orchid Island Forecast

ORC        Orchid Island

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ORC


TWO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TWO  Two Harbors Investment (0.78)


ARR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARR  ARMOUR Residential REIT (0.73)


HTGC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HTGC  Hercules (0.69)


PTEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTEN  Patterson-UTI Energy (0.69)


ENS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ENS  Enersys (0.69)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ORC


WHD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WHD  Cactus (-0.0)


STLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STLD  Steel Dynamics (-0.01)


MAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAC  Macerich (-0.01)


AMZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMZN  Amazon.com (-0.02)


ROK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ROK  Rockwell Automation (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ORC


TJX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TJX  TJX Companies (-0.5)


NGG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NGG  National Grid (-0.51)


AXON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AXON  Axon Enterprise (-0.52)


CORT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CORT  Corcept Therapeutics (-0.53)


VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.67)







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