ORC Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: ORC shows potential for a rebound due to mean-reverting tendencies, strategic adjustments, and insider confidence, despite recent declines.




Bearish Case: Continued high put option volume and book value declines hint at amplified downside risks, despite some optimism.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Rebound due to mean reversion (35% chance)
  • Further decline from book value losses (45% chance)
  • Stable performance amid adjustments (20% chance)



April 13, 2025


Orchid Island Forecast

ORC        Orchid Island











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ORC



CRSR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRSR  Corsair Gaming (0.8)


EC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EC  Ecopetrol SA (0.79)


ETR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETR  Entergy (0.7)


NFE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NFE  New Fortress Energy (0.7)


RYAAY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RYAAY  Ryanair (0.7)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ORC



SOHU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SOHU  Sohu.com Ltd. (0.0)


BAH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BAH  Booz Allen Hamilton (-0.01)


MRVL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MRVL  Marvell Technology (-0.01)


MAIN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAIN  Main Street (-0.01)


SNY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SNY  Sanofi (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ORC



IBN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IBN  ICICI (-0.64)


EA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EA  Electronic Arts (-0.64)


UNH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNH  Unitedhealth (-0.66)


VXX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VXX  iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.67)


VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.68)









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