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REIT Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Potential rate cuts could enhance REIT appeal to yield-seeking investors, with stabilized economic conditions supporting price recovery.

Bearish Case: Economic uncertainties and potential rises in interest rates could increase vacancy rates and suppress valuations, pressuring REIT returns.

Potential Outcomes: 50%: Stable interest rates promote moderate growth.
30%: Economic slowdown raises vacancies.
20%: Rate cuts stimulate demand significantly.

May 02, 2025

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REIT ALPS Active REIT

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with REIT

SCHD Schwab US Dividend Equity (0.88)

OUT Outfront Media (0.85)

IRM Iron Mountain (0.84)

RPM RPM International (0.81)

DVY BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Select Dividend (0.8)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to REIT

CODI Compass Diversified (0.0)

HCC Warrior Met Coal (-0.01)

FSLR First Solar (-0.01)

ENS Enersys (0.02)

BMRN Registered Shares (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against REIT

NTR Nutrien (-0.58)

BA Boeing (-0.58)

GT Goodyear Tire & Rubber (-0.59)

ETR Entergy (-0.62)

IDN Intellicheck (-0.64)

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