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ORC Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Potential stabilization due to insider confidence and strategic adjustments, coupled with recent price rise, suggests moderate bullishness despite historical underperformance.

Bearish Case: Historical return data and declining book value signal caution. Persistent headwinds like interest rate volatility and economic shifts pose risks to ORC's stability.

Potential Outcomes: ORC price stabilizes (40%), continues flat (35%), declines on dividend cuts (25%). Historical trends and interest rate fluctuations impact outcomes.

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January 17, 2025

Orchid Island Forecast

ORC Orchid Island

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ORC

SONY Sony Group Corporation (0.82)

NGL NGL Energy Partners (0.81)

ALV Autoliv (0.81)

CRSR Corsair Gaming (0.8)

AAP Advance Auto Parts (0.79)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ORC

WPC W. P. Carey (-0.01)

JOE St. Joe (-0.01)

NET Cloudflare (-0.01)

SRRK Scholar Rock (-0.01)

BHVN Biohaven Pharmaceutical (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ORC

GWRE Guidewire Software (-0.74)

LTH Life Time (-0.74)

BOIL ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas (-0.75)

ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp (-0.77)

VXX iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.82)

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