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ORC Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Insider buying, stabilization hints, and mean reversion signal potential recovery for ORC amidst strategic portfolio adjustments.



Bearish Case: Ongoing book value declines, high implied volatility, and dividend cut risks indicate sustained pressure and potential further price drops.



Potential Outcomes:
  1. Price decline due to book value losses (45%);
  2. Rebound from mean reversion (30%);
  3. Stabilization with investor realism (25%).


July 12, 2025


Orchid Island Forecast

ORC        Orchid Island

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ORC


ARR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARR  ARMOUR Residential REIT (0.76)


VSH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSH  Vishay Intertechnology (0.74)


BMRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMRN  Registered Shares (0.72)


HTGC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HTGC  Hercules (0.68)


PTEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTEN  Patterson-UTI Energy (0.67)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ORC


KEYS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KEYS  Keysight (-0.0)


SIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SIG  Signet Jewelers (-0.0)


BKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BKR  Baker Hughes (0.0)


HAS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HAS  Hasbro (0.0)


KKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KKR  KKR (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ORC


CRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRK  Comstock Resources (-0.51)


PM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PM  Philip Morris International (-0.52)


ATO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ATO  Atmos Energy (-0.56)


CORT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CORT  Corcept Therapeutics (-0.56)


FDP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FDP  Fresh Del Monte Produce (-0.64)







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