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OWNS Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Affordable housing policy support might enhance OWNS demand, leading to positive returns, especially with a social impact focus.

Bearish Case: Economic downturn risks and historical mean reversion suggest continued flat or negative performance for OWNS.

Potential Outcomes: 30% chance of effective affordable housing policies boosting prices.
50% chance of continued flat or slight negative price performance.
20% chance economic downturn impacts OWNS adversely.

March 21, 2025

Impact Shares Trust I - Impact Shares Affordable Housing MBS Forecast

OWNS Impact Shares Trust I - Impact Shares Affordable Housing MBS

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with OWNS

IGLB BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares 10 Year Investment Grade Corporate Bond (0.84)

AMT American Tower (0.83)

XLV Health Care Select Sector SPDR (0.79)

KO Coca-Cola (0.76)

VGLT Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Long-Term Treasury (0.75)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to OWNS

PWR Quanta Services (0.0)

ARKK ARK Innovation (0.01)

DB Deutsche (0.01)

CRK Comstock Resources (0.01)

WB Weibo (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against OWNS

HES Hess (-0.6)

BBWI Bath & Body Works (-0.61)

OVV Ovintiv (-0.62)

LAC Lithium Americas (-0.64)

LABD Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.65)

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