OWNS Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Affordable housing policy support might enhance OWNS demand, leading to positive returns, especially with a social impact focus.




Bearish Case: Economic downturn risks and historical mean reversion suggest continued flat or negative performance for OWNS.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 30% chance of effective affordable housing policies boosting prices.
  • 50% chance of continued flat or slight negative price performance.
  • 20% chance economic downturn impacts OWNS adversely.



March 21, 2025


Impact Shares Trust I - Impact Shares Affordable Housing MBS Forecast

OWNS        Impact Shares Trust I - Impact Shares Affordable Housing MBS











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with OWNS



AMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMT  American Tower (0.83)


VGLT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VGLT  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Long-Term Treasury (0.75)


VNQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VNQ  Vanguard Real Estate Index (0.73)


FXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FXY  Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen (0.72)


NNN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NNN  National Retail Properties (0.7)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to OWNS



UVXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVXY  ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.01)


DB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DB  Deutsche (0.01)


VTRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTRS  Viatris (0.01)


ARKK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARKK  ARK Innovation (0.01)


CRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRK  Comstock Resources (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against OWNS



HES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HES  Hess (-0.6)


ETR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETR  Entergy (-0.6)


BBWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBWI  Bath & Body Works (-0.61)


OVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OVV  Ovintiv (-0.62)


MEOH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MEOH  Methanex (-0.62)









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