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OWNS Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Affordable housing policy support might enhance OWNS demand, leading to positive returns, especially with a social impact focus.



Bearish Case: Economic downturn risks and historical mean reversion suggest continued flat or negative performance for OWNS.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 30% chance of effective affordable housing policies boosting prices.
  • 50% chance of continued flat or slight negative price performance.
  • 20% chance economic downturn impacts OWNS adversely.


March 21, 2025


Impact Shares Trust I - Impact Shares Affordable Housing MBS Forecast

OWNS        Impact Shares Trust I - Impact Shares Affordable Housing MBS

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with OWNS


VGIT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VGIT  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury (0.91)


AMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMT  American Tower (0.83)


XLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLV  Health Care Select Sector SPDR (0.79)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (0.76)


VGLT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VGLT  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Long-Term Treasury (0.75)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to OWNS


LEG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEG  Leggett & Platt (0.0)


PWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PWR  Quanta Services (0.0)


ARKK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARKK  ARK Innovation (0.01)


UVXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVXY  ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.01)


DB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DB  Deutsche (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against OWNS


HES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HES  Hess (-0.6)


ETR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETR  Entergy (-0.6)


BBWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBWI  Bath & Body Works (-0.61)


OVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OVV  Ovintiv (-0.62)


LABD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LABD  Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.65)







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