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PCY Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: PCY benefits from economic stabilization in emerging markets and reduced geopolitical tensions, supporting high-yield bonds. Mean reversion suggests potential for gains.

Bearish Case: High volatility and geopolitical risks could continue to suppress PCY, with institutional divestment pressures and potential interest rate hikes creating downside risk.

Potential Outcomes: Economic stabilization boosts PCY: 35%
Geopolitical tensions exacerbate decline: 30%
Interest rate hikes lower demand: 20%
Rising institutional investment uplifts prices: 15%

May 22, 2025

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