QUAL Forecast


Bullish Case: With QUAL showing a 0.71% bullish forecast and historical prices indicating strong growth, the fund is likely to continue its upward trajectory driven by reliable earnings and institutional support.


Bearish Case: High implied volatility in the near term and recent flat price action suggest potential overvaluation and short-term corrections, exacerbated by macroeconomic headwinds and recent increased selloffs by institutional investors.


Potential Outcomes: 50% steady growth driven by continued quality stock performance, 30% near-term price correction due to volatility spikes, 20% sideways trading due to market uncertainties. The bear case is supported by diverging volatilities and moderate reach in historical returns.


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July 21, 2024


BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor Forecast

QUAL      BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with QUAL



SPYG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPYG  SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Growth (1.0)


IVW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IVW  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares S&P 500 Growth (1.0)


SMH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SMH  VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (0.99)


QQQM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   QQQM  Invesco Exchange-Traded Fund Trust II - Invesco NASDAQ 100 (0.99)


QLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   QLD  ProShares Ultra QQQ (0.99)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to QUAL



NEGG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NEGG  Newegg Commerce (-0.0)


FOXA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FOXA  Fox Corporation - (0.0)


NOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOG  Northern Oil and Gas (0.01)


EDV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EDV  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury (0.01)


ZTS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZTS  Zoetis (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against QUAL



SDOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDOW  ProShares UltraPro Short Dow30 (-0.96)


SH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SH  ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.98)


TECS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TECS  Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3X Shares (-0.98)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.99)


SQQQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SQQQ  ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (-0.99)





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