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ROKU Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: Roku's strategic pricing and Black Friday promotions could significantly enhance user acquisition. Recent innovations in content and ads may bolster revenues and user engagement, leading to a potential price rebound.

Bearish Case: Lingering ad market pressures and potential competition from new players, coupled with high implied volatility (up to 500% in some options), may deter investor confidence, leading to further declines in share prices.

Potential Outcomes: 60%: Successful Black Friday sales drive significant user growth.
25%: Competitors erode market share despite promotions.
10%: High ad volatility pressures stock performance.
5%: Positive partnerships lead to favorable sentiment.

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November 24, 2024

Roku Forecast

ROKU Roku

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ROKU

DBX Dropbox (0.91)

AUPH Aurinia Pharmaceuticals (0.83)

IJH BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap (0.83)

PTON Peloton Interactive (0.83)

CZR Caesars Entertainment (0.82)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ROKU

NAIL Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares (-0.0)

IEP Icahn (-0.01)

RGTI Rigetti Computing (0.01)

BKR Baker Hughes (-0.02)

W Wayfair (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ROKU

TTEK Tetra Tech (-0.72)

MU Micron Technology (-0.75)

FANG Diamondback Energy (-0.77)

STNG Scorpio Tankers (-0.77)

VLO Valero Energy (-0.78)

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