SCL Forecast




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: Increased demand in the personal care sector can drive SCL's stock price above $85, especially as historical data shows a potential recovery pattern influenced by improving market conditions.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and historical negative trends suggest SCL may fall below $70, particularly if macroeconomic factors continue to deteriorate or sector performance falters.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Market recovery leading to SCL price above $85 (40%);

2. Continued negative trends causing SCL to drop below $70 (30%);

3. Marginal fluctuations around $75-$80 (20%);

4. Unprecedented market shocks affecting SCL adversely (10%).




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October 22, 2024


Stepan Forecast

SCL        Stepan











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SCL



RXRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RXRX  Recursion Pharmaceuticals (0.84)


PLAB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PLAB  Photronics (0.82)


NRDS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NRDS  Nerdwallet (0.82)


AMR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMR  Alta Mesa Resources (0.82)


BEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BEN  Franklin Resources (0.81)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SCL



XLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLY  Active Trust - Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (0.0)


ROST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ROST  Ross Stores (-0.0)


BX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BX  Blackstone (0.0)


C Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   C  Citigroup (0.0)


HEAR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HEAR  Turtle Beach (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SCL



BABA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BABA  Alibaba (-0.6)


VOD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOD  Vodafone (-0.62)


CRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRK  Comstock Resources (-0.62)


OHI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OHI  Omega Healthcare Investors (-0.66)


IMAX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IMAX  Imax (-0.75)









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