SDY Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: SDY's mean reversion signals, coupled with historical stability in its returns and current low volatility, provide a solid foundation for a bullish outlook.




Bearish Case: Rising interest rates and macroeconomic vulnerabilities could pressure SDY, exacerbated by lower implied volatility on longer-dated options indicating uncertainty ahead.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Rebound to $140 (50%) due to mean reversion.
  • Stability around $134 (30%) amid mixed signals.
  • Decline to $128 (20%) from economic pressures.




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January 24, 2025


SPDR Series Trust - SPDR Dividend Forecast

SDY        SPDR Series Trust - SPDR Dividend











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SDY



SPYV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPYV  SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value (0.95)


AFL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AFL  Aflac (0.93)


SO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SO  Southern (0.93)


PNW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PNW  Pinnacle West (0.93)


DTE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DTE  DTE Energy (0.92)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SDY



XYL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XYL  Xylem (0.0)


NOVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOVA  Sunnova Energy International (-0.0)


ADVM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADVM  Adverum Biotechnologies (0.01)


WY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WY  Weyerhaeuser (0.01)


TALK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TALK  Talkspace (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SDY



SHLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHLS  Shoals (-0.78)


AAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AAP  Advance Auto Parts (-0.78)


BLDP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BLDP  Ballard Power Systems (-0.79)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.81)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.85)









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